Last week, Attorney General Pam Bondi claimed that drug busts during the first 100 days of the Trump administration had saved 119 million lives. She soon issued a correction, announcing that the true figure was more than twice as high – 258 million.
- The main point: The claim is implausible on many levels.
Here’s why:
- Nowhere near 258 million Americans use drugs that would even potentially contain fentanyl.
- Most fentanyl is consumed by a tiny subset of Americans with much higher tolerances than the 2-mg dose that officials say could cause an overdose.
- Even when overdoses do occur, many can be reversed using naloxone and other techniques.
- By Bondi’s logic, if law enforcement continued to seize fentanyl at the same rate for another month or so, the Trump administration could claim credit for saving every single American from a fatal drug overdose.
The bigger meaning: Bondi’s remarks underscore the administration’s emphasis on enforcement as the response to the overdose crisis.
- Law enforcement commonly quantifies drug busts by the maximum number of people the substances could potentially have killed — i.e., a seizure of x potentially lethal doses.
- But: Bondi’s comments escalate the rhetoric. She was not just claiming that the drugs had the potency, hypothetically, to kill more than two-thirds of the country’s population; she was arguing that the drug busts actually saved the lives of 258 million people.